The California ISO has posted a set of stochastic production cost simulation models to its website. The ISO developed the models based on the CPUC 2019-20 IRP Preferred System Portfolio, which was adopted in Decision 22-02-004 on Feb. 10, 2022 (CPUC Docket No. R.20-05-003), and the CEC 2021 IEPR hourly load forecast. The results of the models were presented in a letter written by ISO Vice President Neil Millar to California Energy Commission (CEC) Vice Chair Siva Gunda on Feb. 2, 2023.
The models are available on the Reports and bulletins webpage, in the Special reports section, under the CAISO IRP 38MMT PSP Stochastic PLEXOS Models with CEC 2021 IEPR Load Forecast heading