Section 3 Market Performance Metrics

Day-Ahead Prices

Figure 3.1 show the daily simple average load-aggregation points (LAP) prices for each of the four default LAPs (PG&E, SCE, SDG&E, and VEA) for all hours. TABLE 3.1 below lists the binding constraints along with the associated DLAP locations and the dates when the binding constraints resulted in relatively high or low DLAP prices. October 16 saw elevated prices for all four DLAPs due to tight supply.

Figure 3.1: Day-Ahead Simple Average LAP Prices (All Hours)

Day-Ahead Simple Average LAP Prices (All Hours)
Table 3.1: Day-Ahead Transmission Constraint
DLAP Dates Transmission Constraint
SDGE October 13 OMS-8701990_50001_OOS_NG,SUNCREST-SUNCREST-230 XFMR
SDGE October 14 OMS-8701990_50001_OOS_NG,SUNCREST-SUNCREST-230 XFMR
SDGE October 15 OMS-8701990_50001_OOS_NG,SUNCREST-SUNCREST-230 XFMR

Real-Time Price

Figure 3.2 show daily simple average LAP prices for all the default LAPs (PG&E, SCE, SDG&E, and VEA) for all hours respectively in FMM. TABLE 3.2 lists the binding constraints along with the associated DLAP locations and the dates when the binding constraints resulted in relatively high or low DLAP prices. All four DLAP prices were elevated on October 15 due to upward load adjustment, generation outages, and renewable deviation.

Figure 3.2: FMM Simple Average LAP Prices (All Hours)

FMM Simple Average LAP Prices (All Hours)
Table 3.2: FMM Transmission Constraint
DLAP Dates Transmission Constraint
SDGE October 1 MIGUEL-MIGUELMP-500 XFMR
SDGE October 5 SUNCREST-SUNCREST-230 XFMR
PGAE October 12-14 MIDWAY-VINCENT-500kV line

Figure 3.3 below shows the daily frequency of positive price spikes and negative prices by price range for the default LAPs in the FMM. The cumulative frequency of prices above $250/MWh decreased to 1.26 percent in October from 1.66 percent in August. The cumulative frequency of negative prices fell to 0.08 percent in October from 0.24 percent in September.

Figure 3.3: Daily Frequency of FMM LAP Positive Price Spikes and Negative Prices

Daily Frequency of FMM LAP Positive Price Spikes and Negative Prices

Figure 3.4 show daily simple average LAP prices for all the default LAPs (PG&E, SCE, SDG&E, and VEA) for all hours respectively in RTD. TABLE 3.3 lists the binding constraints along with the associated DLAP locations and the dates when the binding constraints resulted in relatively high or low DLAP prices.

Figure 3.4: FMM Simple Average LAP Prices (All Hours)

FMM Simple Average LAP Prices (All Hours)
Table 3.3: RTD Transmission Constraint
DLAP Dates Transmission Constraint
SDGE October 22 MIDWAY-VINCENT-500 kV line

Figure 3.3 below shows the daily frequency of positive price spikes and negative prices by price range for the default LAPs in RTD. The cumulative frequency of prices above $250/MWh slipped to 0.45 percent in October from 1.24 percent in September. The cumulative frequency of negative prices decreased to 0.26 percent in October from 0.58 percent in September.

Figure 3.5: Daily Frequency of FMM LAP Positive Price Spikes and Negative Prices

Daily Frequency of FMM LAP Positive Price Spikes and Negative Prices